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You can download the recently released CBN’s Economic Report for Q1 2010. Here is an excerpt from the summary section:
Provisional data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) estimated GDP growth in the first quarter of 2010 at 6.7 per cent, compared with 8.2 per cent in the preceding quarter. The projected growth was driven mainly by the non-oil sector which contributed6.64 percentage points to the growth rate. Broad money (M 2 ) grew by 2.3 per cent, relative to the preceding quarter. The increase in M 2 was due largely to the rise in net domestic credit and other assets (net) of the banking system. Narrow money (M 1 ), however,declined, by 1.0 per cent, from the level in the preceding quarter. Reserve money (RM) expanded by 9.5 per cent over the level at the end of the preceding quarter, but fell short of the indicative benchmark for Q1 2010 by 0.7 per cent.Available data indicated a general decline in banks’ deposit and lending rates. The spread between the weighted average term deposit and maximum lending rates, however, widened from 11.40 percentage points in the preceding quarter to 13.69 percentage points. The margin between the average savings deposit and maximum lending rates also widened from 19.74 percentage points in the preceding quarter to 19.83percentage points during the review period. The weighted average inter-bank call rate fell to 2.05 per cent from 5.80 per cent in the preceding quarter, reflecting the liquidity condition in the interbank funds market. The value of money market assets outstanding fell by0.2 per cent from the level in the preceding quarter to N3,314.6 billion. The development was attributed to the decline in Bankers’ Acceptances (BAs) and Commercial Papers (CPs). Activities on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) were mixed during the review quarter.
Total federally-collected revenue in the first quarter of 2010 stood at N1,561.59 billion, representing a shortfall of 22.4 per cent from the proportionate budget estimate, but an increase of 13.9 per cent over the receipts in the preceding quarter. At N1,156.73 billion, oil receipts, which constituted 74.1 per cent of the total, fell short of the proportionate budget estimate by 20.9 per cent, but rose by 23.6 per cent over the receipts in the preceding quarter. The under performance in oil receipts relative to the proportionate budget estimate was largely attributed to the fall in petroleum profit tax and royalties. Similarly, non-oil receipts, at N404.86 billion or 25.9 per cent of the total was lower than the proportionate budget estimate and the receipts in the preceding quarter by 26.4 and 7.0 per cent, respectively. The shortfall relative to the proportionate budget estimate reflected largely the fall in customs and excise duties and company income tax and other taxes.
Federal Government retained revenue for the first quarter of 2010 was N599.82 billion, while total expenditure was N877.35 billion. Thus,the fiscal operations of the Federal Government resulted in a deficit of N277.54 billion or 4.3 per cent of estimated nominal GDP for Q1 2010,compared with the budgeted deficit of N380.48 billion for the review quarter and a surplus of N32.56 billion in the corresponding quarter of 2009. Agricultural activities during the review quarter centered largely on harvesting of tree crops, clearing of land for the 2010 cropping season as well as preparation of land for irrigated farming.
Nigeria’s crude oil production, including condensates and natural gas liquids, was estimated at 1.99 million barrels per day (mbd) or 179.1 million barrels for the quarter. Crude oil export was estimated at 1.54 mbd or 138.6 million barrels for the quarter, while deliveries to the refineries for domestic consumption remained at 0.445 mbd or 40.5 million barrels. The average price of Nigeria’s reference crude, the Bonny Light (37 0 API), estimated at US$79.10 per barrel, rose by 1.1 per cent over the level in the preceding quarter. The end-period headline inflation rate (year-on-year), for the first quarter of 2010, was 11.8 per cent, compared with 12.0 and 14.4 per cent recorded at the end of the preceding quarter and the corresponding quarter of 2009, respectively. Inflation rate on a twelve-month moving average basis for the first quarter, was 11.9 per cent, compared with 12.4 and 13.1 per cent recorded in the preceding quarter and the corresponding quarter, 2009, respectively.
Foreign exchange inflow and outflow through the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) amounted to US$6.52 billion and US$8.07 billion, respectively,resulting in a net outflow of US$1.55 billion during the quarter. Foreign exchange sales by the CBN to the authorized dealers amounted to US$6.07 billion in Q1 2010. The average Naira exchange rate vis-à-vis the US dollar, appreciated by 0.1% to N149.94 per dollar at the WDAS. In the bureaux-de-change segment of the market, the Naira also appreciated from N153.16 per dollar toN152.49 per dollar while it depreciated marginally at the interbank segment from N150.35 per US dollar in Q4 2009 to N150.46 per dollar. Non-oil export earnings by Nigerian exporters declined by 35.1 per cent from the level in the preceding quarter to US$630.5 million. The development was attributed largely to the fall in the prices of all the commodities traded at the international commodities market during the period.
Download the report below:
CBN Q1 Economic Report
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3 Responses to Central Bank of Nigeria Q1 2010 Economic Report
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July 24th, 2010 at 1:35 am
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January 7th, 2012 at 11:40 am
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