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JP Morgan recently prepared an extensive report analyzing the top Nigerian banks.You can read the report here.JPM Nigerian Banks Research Report (658)
The major points are:
Strengths
- Continued strong economic growth and sustained high oil prices
- Improving regulatory environment
- Presently well capitalised
- Increasing breadth of operations lowers risk to earnings because of diversification benefits
- Senior management teams at all teh banks are experienced bankers
- Weaknesses
- Lack of nationala identification system and lack of clearly functioning credit bureau
- Significant and widening gap between Nigerian banks and their international pairs in terms of valuation
- Untest risk controls
- Banks are a major portion of the NSE
- Lack of cross-border consolidated supervision
Opportunities
- Low penetration rates as evidenced by low deposit to GDP and loan to GDP ratios
- PPP projects to fund infrastructure spend
- Growth in retail segment
- More efficient capital structures
- Continued penetration of low cost retail deposits
- Improved efficiency
Threats
- Increasing competition has squeezed net interest margins
- Consolidation
- Growing NPLs
- Dependence on local investors
- Many of the banks depend on a few senior executives
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