Here are excerpts from B. J. Rewane’s Monthly Economic Views and News presentation for July 2011:

- Economic expansion to continue and will be buoyed by robust non oil sector growth
- In 2011, the economy has suffered from deferred investment decisions due to political uncertainty
- GDP growth for 2011 expected to be 5.9% before increasing in 2012 to 6.2%
- Expansionary fiscal policy and higher food import prices will pose inflation threats
- Capacity expansion in key sectors to be funded mainly by debt and offshore credit
- Mainly in telecom data network expansion
- Aggressive cement capacity expansion in the building material space now targeting 20million tonnes per year
- Lafarge, Dangote and Flour Mills Nigeria fighting for market share
- Substantial Brewing industry capacity expansion and reactivation of dormant breweries
- Consolidation and growing demand in the Food and beverage sector
- Civil works and engineering for power stations, roads, bridges at both State and FGN levels
- Budget discipline and due process will be on the front burner
- The entry of Ngozi the task mistress means hold the feet of Ministers to the fire
- Deficit funding and management will be a major challenge

You can download the entire presentation below:

BJ Rewane\'s Monthly Economic Views For July 2011 (231).

And here are the top gainers and losers in the stock exchange for July 2011:

And losers:

Below is the summary of the NSE for the week of July 8th.

- The NSE All-Share Index cumulatively shed 157bps at the end of this week.
- Bearish sentiments continued to dominate proceedings on the bourse this week despite the marginal appreciation recorded towards the end of the week. Some stocks in the banking sector however recorded marginal gains, with the likes of Stanbic IBTC, Diamond Bank, FinBank and Unity Bank bagging varied points. On the other hand, Wema Bank, Union Bank and Afribank shed points in excess of 11.0% apiece. The sector is likely to trade around this level in coming sessions; there is however a possibility that activities from new entrants could reverse this trend.
- In the food and beverages sector, NBC and Cadbury recorded marginal gains this week. On the flip side, NNFM, Honeywell Flour, Nascon, Dangote Flour and Flour Mills went southwards, shedding points between 1.3% and 11.5%. Other stocks in the sector traded sideways. A dearth of new and positive information may lead to a continuation of the trend witnessed in the sector last week in the near term.
- Japaul Oil was divergent to the market trend this week, with a 3.8% gain.

And here are the reports from FSDH, Afrinvest, and Lead Capital for the weeks ending July 1st and 8th:

July 8th:

Afrinvest Weekly Market Update July 8 2011 (174).

NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - July 8th 2011 (178).

NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - July 8th 2011 (162).

Afrinvest Weekly Update 8th July 2011 (161)

July 1st:

Afrinvest Weekly Market Update July 1 2011 (156).

Afrinvest Weekly Update 1st July 2011 (153).

NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - July 1 2011 (197).

NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - July 1st 2011 (153)

And courtesy of FSDH Securities, here are the stats for the last week:

Courtesy of the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics, here is the Consumer Price Index for May 2011.

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX: MAY 2011
(BASE PERIOD NOVEMBER 2009 = 100)
BRIEF METHODOLOGY:

This edition of the Statistical News contains the revised Consumer Price Index (CPI) based on Nigeria Living Standard Survey (NLSS) 2003/2004. The consumption expenditure data were revalued to November 2009 which is the base period for the revised CPI. The May 2003 based and September 1985 based indices are being continued using factors derived from the new CPI. All of these indices will yield the same price change for any commodity group contained in all the series. A new sub index – Imported Food Index- is available in the revised CPI.

A TOTAL of 10534 informants spread across the country provide price data for the compilation of the New CPI each month. Also, 740 product specifications are priced in each centre for computation of the New CPI. For more enquiries relating to the CPI revision refer to kocimo@nigerianstat.gov.ng or kocimo@yahoo.com

ALL ITEMS INDEX
The Composite Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 12.4 percent year-on-year in May 2011. This is higher than 11.3 percent recorded in the previous month in the new CPI series. The monthly change of the CPI was 0.91 percent increase when compared with April 2011. The urban All Items monthly index rose by 0.2 percent while the corresponding rural index rose by 1.5 percent when compared with the preceding month.

The year-on-year average consumer price level as at May 2011 for Urban and Rural dwellers rose by 11.5 and 13.0 percent respectively. The percentage change in the average composite CPI for the twelve-month period ending May 2011 over the average of the CPI for the previous twelve-month period was 12.6. This was slightly lower than the figure for the preceding month. The corresponding 12- month average percent change for urban and rural indices rose by 10.2 and 14.5 respectively.

FOOD INDEX
Average monthly food prices declined by 0.3 percent in May 2011 when compared with April 2011 figure. The level of the Composite Food Index was higher than the corresponding level a year ago by 12.2 percent. The average annual rate of rise of the index was 13.2 percent for the twelve-month period ending May 2011. The change in the month-on-month index was caused mainly by downward movement of the prices of some food items like vegetables, fruits and cereals.

ALL ITEMS LESS FARM PRODUCE
The “All items less Farm Produce” index which excludes the prices of agricultural products increased by 0.9 percent in May 2011 when compared with April 2011. The increase was mainly on some household items, building materials, rents, diesel and kerosene. In the twelve-month to May 2011, the index rose by 13.0 percent while the average annual rate of rise of the index was 12.2 percent for the twelve-month period ending May 2011.

The full report for this May 2011 and prior months can be downloaded below:
Nigeria Bureau of Statistics - May 2011 Consumer Price Index (313).
National Bureau of Statistics - Consumer Price Index For April 2011 (219).
National Bureau of Statistics - Inflation Data Feb 2011 (194).
National Bureau of Statistics - Inflation Data - Jan 2011 (186)

Below is the Monthly Economic News and Views presentation by BJ Rewane at the Lagos Business School. Presentations for the prior months are also below.

June 2011:
LBS Executive Breakfast June 2011 (270).

Prior Months:
LBS Executive Breakfast May 2011 (240).
LBS Executive Breakfast April 2011 - 1 (196).
LBS Executive Breakfast April 2011 - 2 (203).
LBS Executive Breakfast March 2011 (191).
LBS Executive Breakfast February 2011 (190)

Below are the weekly NSE Reports for the week ended June 17th 2011.

Market Summary:
+ The NSE All-Share Index cumulatively lost 151bps this week.
+ Activities in the banking sector picked up during the week, without any significant price appreciation across board. A few rescued banks rallied with gains this week; Unity Bank topped the gainers’ list with a 20.0% gain, while Wema Bank, Diamond Bank, Skye Bank, Intercontinental Bank, Union Bank and Sterling Bank recorded points in excess of 2.0% apiece. On the flip side, Spring Bank, Ecobank and Bank PHB all lost in excess of 13.0%. The market may begin to show slow positive recovery from the present trend in the coming sessions.
+ In the building materials sector, Dangote Cement and CCNN were sent tumbling at the end of this week, shedding points in excess of 1.0% apiece, while Lafarge Wapco and Ashaka Cement were divergent to the market trend with gains of 1.1% and 3.5% respectively.

NSE Weekly Report - Afrinvest - June 10th 2011 (141).
NSE Weekly Report - Afrinvest - June 17th 2011 (146).
NSE Weekly Report - Afrinvest Weekly Update - June 17th 2011 (151).
NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - June 17th 2011 (155).
NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - June 17th 2011 (136)

Also below are the weekly reports for the weeks ended June 10th and 3rd.
June 3rd:
NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - June 3rd 2011 (171).
NSE Weekly Report - Afrinvest - 3rd June 2011 (148).
NSE Weekly Report - IBTC - 3rd June 2011 (166).
NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - June 3rd 2011 (132).

June 10th:
NSE Weekly Report - Afrinvest - June 10th 2011 (143).
NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - June 10th 2011 (139).
NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - June 10th 2011 (133).
NSE Weekly Report - IBTC - 10th June 2011 (129)

Courtesy of Afrinvest, IBTC, Lead Capital, and FSDH, here are the NSE reports for the week ended May 20th, 2011

  • The market was relatively quiet, with activities skewed to the sell side. The NSE All-Share Index cumulatively lost 9 bps this week.
  • The banking sector went to the bears this week; subsequently only two banks recorded gains at the close of the week. Bank PHB recorded a 7.1% appreciation, while Intercontinental Bank recorded a marginal gain. On the flip side, fairly matched demand and supply during daily sessions for top-tier banks led to losses ranging from 0.5% to 2.0% for GTBank, Zenith Bank and First Bank.
  • In the food and beverages sector, profit taking shaved off 11.6% and 0.8% from Dangote Sugar and Dangote Flour respectively this week. On the up-tick however was Honeywell Flour, bagging 9.0%. Nascon, Nestle, and Flour Mills also had growing demand, leading to gains of 3.3%, 1.3% and 1.2% respectively.
  • In line with the market trend, PZ Cussons recorded the lone gain in the conglomerates sector this week, while Unilever, UACN and Transcorp shed 1.2%, 2.3% and 1.8% respectively.

NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - May 20th 2011 (313).

NSE Weekly Report - Afrinvest - May 20th 2011 (209).

NSE Weekly Report - IBTC - May 20th 2011 (219).

NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - May 20th 2011 (194)

The week ended with the NSE All-Share Index inching up by 203bps.

The banking sector recorded fairly matched gains and losses this week. Profit taking mid-week curbed the rally on UBA and Oceanic Bank, subsequently leading to marginal gains of 3.4% and 1.5% respectively. Mid-tier banks, Skye Bank, Access Bank and FCMB also inched up marginally with gains of 8.7%, 4.8% and 4.0% respectively.

Bullish sentiments dominated the breweries sector throughout the week as most stocks in the sector recorded varied gains. Guinness traded mostly at top price throughout the week but closed flat due to a dearth of volumes. NB recorded marginal gains, while International Breweries gathered 27.2% cumulatively.

Activities in building sector were on the upbeat this week as Lafarge Wapco topped the gainers’ list in the sector. This was closely followed by Dangote Cement and CCNN with gains of 5.0% and 4.9% respectively, while Ashaka Cement recorded a 3.3% mark-up in its share price.

Afrinvest Weekly Market Update - May 13th 2011 (193).

Afrinvest Weekly Update 13th May 2011 (198).

NSE Weekly Report - IBTC - May 13th 2011 (205).

NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - May 13th 2011 (189).

NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - May 13th 2011 (201)

Here are the company results and reports from the stockbrokers, Afrinvest, FSDH, BGI and Lead Capital.

Company Research - Afrinvest - Ashaka Cement Plc FY 2010 Result (296).

Company Research - Afrinvest - Dangote Cement Plc April 2011 (225).

Company Research - Afrinvest - Dangote Sugar Plc FY 2010 (217).

Company Research - Afrinvest - Dangote Sugar Plc FY 2010 (204).

Company Research - Afrinvest - May & Baker Nigeria Plc FY 2010 Result (276).

Company Research - Afrinvest - Mobil (Nigeria) Plc FY 2010 Result (206).

Company Research - Afrinvest - Oando Plc FY 2010 Result (213).

Company Research - Afrinvest - UBA Plc FY 2010 Result (223).

Company Research - BGI - Nigerian Breweries March 2011 (244).

Company Research - BGI - Nigerian Brewries March 2011 (193).

Company Research - UBA FY 2010 Analysis (212).

Company Research - Vetiva - Cadbury Nigeria - FY10 Earnings Release (516).

Company Research - Vetiva - Diamond Bank Plc - April 2011 (216).

Company Research - Vetiva - Lafarge WAPCO FY10 Earnings Release (324).

Company Research - Vetiva Research - CCNN FY2010 Earnings Release Report (220).

Company Research - Zenith Bank FY 2010 Results Analysis (285).

Company Results - Intercontinental Bank - Financials Sept 2010 (261).

Company Results Review - FSDH - Cadbury Nigeria PLC 2010 (202).

Dangote Cement Plc Q1 2011 Result-1 (206).

Update (Mon, may 23rd): Some additional results:

Berger Paints Plc FY 2010 Result (181).

Flashnote -GT Assurance Plc FY 2010 Result (194).

Guaranty Trust Assurance Plc Q1 2011 Result (179).

Guinness (Nigeria) Plc Q3 2011 Result-1 (185).

Vetiva Research Dangote Cement FY10 Earnings Release Report (275).

Vetiva Research Q111 Earnings Flashnote Zenith Bank Plc (206)

More Bank Results

In: Banks

11 May 2011

Courtesy of Afrinvest, Lead Capital, and FSDH, here are the reports for the NSE for the week ended May 6th 2011:

- Bullish sentiments dominated the market this week, with the NSE All-Share Index inching up by 103 bps.
- Activities in the banking sector were on the uptick as many of the banks recorded gains this week. FinBank, Diamond Bank, UBA and Oceanic Bank gained points in excess of 10.0% apiece. Other gainers in the sector include Stanbic IBTC, Intercontinental Bank, Wema Bank and Union Bank, gathering points between 5.0% and 9.0%. Aggressive selling activities shaved off marginal points from the price of Skye Bank and Fidelity Bank, both recording losses of 1.5% and 1.8% respectively.
- In the breweries sector, NB maintained its strong hold on the market throughout the week. Strategic activities on the last trading day curbed the price appreciation of NB and it subsequently gained marginal points. Bullish sentiments dominated activities in Guinness; it however closed flat due to a dearth of volumes. On the flip side, International Breweries lost 13.5% cumulatively.

Afrinvest Weekly Update 6th May 2011 (219).

Afrinvest Nigeria Update Issue - May 6th 2011 (315).

NSE Weekly Report - IBTC - May 6th 2011 (268).

NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - May 6th 2011 (242).

And here are the charts:
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And here are the reports for the past weeks:
Week ended April 29th 2011:
NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - May 6th 2011 (204).
NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - April 28th 2011 (193).

Week ended April 22nd 2011:
NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - April 22th 2011 (259)

Courtesy of FSDH, Afrinvest, Lead Capital, and Stanbic IBTC, here are the weekly reports for the Nigerian Stock Exchange for the week ended April 15th 2011:

Summary for the week:

- The NSE All-Share Index closed at 25,036.75 this week.
- Activities in the banking industry were on the uptick this week in spite of the release of some full year numbers that failed to impress many participants. Diamond Bank rallied towards the end of the week, with an 11.0% gain. This was followed by Zenith Bank, FCMB, Intercontinental Bank and Stanbic IBTC, with gains ranging from 5.0% to 7.0% each. On the flip side, Oceanic Bank, Wema Bank, Bank PHB and Spring Bank shed points in excess of 3.0% apiece. First Bank also shed marginal points at the end of the week; this may be the after-effect of its full year results which fell below participants’ expectations.
- In the breweries sector, all traded stocks, with the exception of Champion Breweries, recorded varied gains at the close of the week. NB and International Breweries gathered gains of 4.3% and 6.3% respectively, while institutional purchases firmed up the price of Guinness with a 7.3% gain.
- Fringe players, C & I Leasing and Japaul Oil moved in the same direction with the market index, recording gains of 1.6% and 7.3% respectively to close the week on a positive note.

Afrinvest Weekly Market Summary & Stock Recommendation, Week Ended 15th April 2011 (292).
NSE Weekly Report - Afrinvest - April 15th 2011 (262).
NSE Weekly Report - IBTC - April 15th 2011 (267).
NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - April 15th 2011 (265)

And here are the reports for previous weeks as well.
Reports for the week of April 8th:

Afrinvest Weekly Market Summary & Stock Recommendation, Week Ended 8th April 2011 (270).
NSE Weekly Report - FSDH - April 8th 2011 (249).
NSE Weekly Report - IBTC - April 8th 2011 (243).
NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - April 8th 2011 (248)

Reports for the week of April 1st:

Afrinvest Weekly Market Update - April 1 2011 (235).
NSE Forthnightly Report - Afrinvest - April 1 2011 (347).
NSE Weekly Report - Lead Capital - April 1st 2011 (261)

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